Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.196905 0.224045 0.253164 0.286683 0.324155 0.364705 0.411858
2026-01-04 0.163318 0.200155 0.242311 0.293949 0.355312 0.425707 0.512377
2026-01-11 0.137302 0.179476 0.230495 0.296383 0.378806 0.478058 0.606126
2026-01-18 0.119256 0.165077 0.223291 0.302025 0.404985 0.534212 0.707723
2026-01-25 0.106163 0.154737 0.219218 0.310079 0.433622 0.594385 0.817787
2026-02-01 0.092605 0.141705 0.209622 0.309040 0.449165 0.637628 0.907822
2026-02-08 0.081446 0.130437 0.200849 0.307611 0.463127 0.678668 0.996525
2026-02-15 0.072155 0.120637 0.192871 0.306050 0.476020 0.718194 1.084665
2026-02-22 0.066383 0.115431 0.190935 0.312796 0.500876 0.775534 1.200777
2026-03-01 0.059831 0.108150 0.184962 0.312573 0.514826 0.817283 1.295969
2026-03-08 0.054239 0.101760 0.179658 0.312677 0.528852 0.859423 1.393462
2026-03-15 0.049461 0.096178 0.175047 0.313294 0.543362 0.902658 1.494397
2026-03-22 0.045739 0.092191 0.172946 0.318224 0.565721 0.960297 1.622505
2026-03-29 0.042872 0.089429 0.172662 0.326125 0.593398 1.027838 1.769900
2026-04-05 0.039494 0.085303 0.169544 0.328755 0.612226 1.081964 1.898456
2026-04-12 0.036956 0.082503 0.168526 0.334925 0.637368 1.147621 2.049014
2026-04-19 0.034997 0.080623 0.169005 0.343752 0.667582 1.223160 2.219551
2026-04-26 0.032019 0.076284 0.164365 0.342606 0.679720 1.268367 2.340866
2026-05-03 0.029302 0.072165 0.159743 0.341034 0.690801 1.312067 2.461405
2026-05-10 0.026844 0.068312 0.155270 0.339319 0.701341 1.355112 2.582557
2026-05-17 0.025494 0.066794 0.155423 0.346721 0.729461 1.430751 2.764491
2026-05-24 0.023563 0.063693 0.151957 0.346476 0.742727 1.479967 2.901197
2026-05-31 0.021837 0.060869 0.148810 0.346590 0.756589 1.530779 3.042870